From: Arthur W. Brooks Sent: Thursday, February 15, 2007 12:51 PM To: Wayne T. Reiersen; Steve Raftopoulos; James H. Chrzanowski; Phil Heitzenroeder; Robert A. Ellis; Thomas G. Brown; Hutch Neilson; Michael C. Zarnstorff; Lawrence E. Dudek Subject: Reproducibility of Romer Arm Data Attachments: Analysis of Overlap Regions.ppt Folks, I've tried to go back and do some data mining in an attempt to quantify the reproducibility of the Romer Arm measurements. There are two areas in particular where we have multiple measurements of the same points: 1) Analyze the repeated measurements of the Conical Seats during the alignment of the arm prior to each set of measurements at the various stages of coil winding. 2) Analyze the overlap regions of the casting measurements. The Conical seats were found to be more repeatable as the Romer Arm as they provide a defined point to go back to and are also part of the best fitting process associated with each alignment. The overlap regions are less repeatable as there is some uncertainty associated with getting back to the same point and the measurements include the alignment error. The attached tables and plots provide a summary of the data. For the conical seats, several estimates of the deviation were made with different treatment of the reference coordinates of the seats. In the first column of slide 1, the deviations are measured with respect to the reference coordinates and show the highest magnitudes. In the second column, the deviations are with respect to the average of all measurements with the reference coordinates taken as just another set of data. In the last column, the reference points are excluded. This represents the best we can expect from the Romer Arm and suggest the Romer Arm contribution to the total error (2 sigma) is ~.0055" based on C4, C5 and B1. A3 is a bit higher (~.0074") party because it includes some questionable measurements that may or may not have been included in the alignment (points that differ significantly are normal deleted from the coil alignment but may be included in the inspection reports). An interesting point is that the reference coordinates differ from the average of the repeated measurements. This implies there is some error in our knowledge of the reference points as well. It may be worth doing repeated measurements of the seats to remove some of this error prior to coil winding. The second slide summaries the deviations found in the overlap regions for the castings. The initial investigations looked at C4 and C5 showed repeatability of the measurements to be ~ 0.010" at the 2 sigma level. B1, B2 and A1 were not significantly different. However, A2 and A3 should differences more than twice that. In retrospect, I suspect these should have been flagged and remeasured. It seems we (I) need to spend more time reviewing data and perhaps adopt a more stringent and comprehensive criteria (ie set a limit on average deviation of .010" to .012") The remaining slides just contain histograms of all the overlap data for each coil. Most (B1, B2, A1, C4 and C5) show fairly normal distributions that could be associated with multiple measurements. Others seem to suggest a slight shift in the alignment of the setups. To summarize, it would appear the Romer Arm does have the potential to take repeatable data with acceptable limits but we are not always achieving it in practice. Art